Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might Not Be New: Data Points To A 2-Month Slide
January 2, 2026 · 9:30 AM

Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, suggests that Bitcoin may have entered a bear market two months ago, as several indicators turned bearish in early November. He highlighted that Bitcoin's price falling below its one-year moving average is a significant technical signal, indicating a potential trading range decline. Moreno estimates a possible bottom near the realized price of $56,000–$60,000, representing a 55% drop from its all-time high, which is less severe than previous crashes.
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