Bitcoin’s $150K Target Looks Unlikely As Polymarket Odds Sink To 23%
January 2, 2026 · 2:00 PM
The article discusses contrasting signals regarding Bitcoin's near-term price trajectory from prediction markets and analysts. Traders on Polymarket show caution, with only a 23% chance of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by 2027, while higher probabilities are assigned to lower targets, with an 80% chance for $100,000. This cautious sentiment follows Bitcoin's poor performance at the end of 2025 and skepticism about the traditional four-year halving cycle.
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